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A protocol for the intercomparison of marine fishery and ecosystem models: Fish-MIP v1.0 ArchiMer
Tittensor, Derek P.; Eddy, Tyler D.; Lotze, Heike K.; Galbraith, Eric D.; Cheung, William; Barange, Manuel; Blanchard, Julia L.; Bopp, Laurent; Bryndum-buchholz, Andrea; Buechner, Matthias; Bulman, Catherine; Carozza, David A.; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; Dunne, John P.; Fernandes, Jose A.; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Hobday, Alistair J.; Huber, Veronika; Jennings, Simon; Jones, Miranda; Lehodey, Patrick; Link, Jason S.; Mackinson, Steve; Maury, Olivier; Niiranen, Susa; Oliveros-ramos, Ricardo; Roy, Tilla; Schewe, Jacob; Shin, Yunne-jai; Silva, Tiago; Stock, Charles A.; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Underwood, Philip J.; Volkholz, Jan; Watson, James R.; Walker, Nicola D..
Model intercomparison studies in the climate and Earth sciences communities have been crucial to building credibility and coherence for future projections. They have quantified variability among models, spurred model development, contrasted within- and among-model uncertainty, assessed model fits to historical data, and provided ensemble projections of future change under specified scenarios. Given the speed and magnitude of anthropogenic change in the marine environment and the consequent effects on food security, biodiversity, marine industries, and society, the time is ripe for similar comparisons among models of fisheries and marine ecosystems. Here, we describe the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project protocol version 1.0...
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Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00438/54988/75118.pdf
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Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change ArchiMer
Lotze, Heike K.; Tittensor, Derek P.; Bryndum-buchholz, Andrea; Eddy, Tyler D.; Cheung, William W. L.; Galbraith, Eric D.; Barange, Manuel; Barrier, Nicolas; Bianchi, Daniele; Blanchard, Julia L; Bopp, Laurent; Buchner, Matthias; Bulman, Catherine M.; Carozza, David A.; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; Dunne, John P.; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Jennings, Simon; Jones, Miranda C.; Mackinson, Steve; Maury, Olivier; Niiranen, Susa; Oliveros-ramos, Ricardo; Roy, Tilla; Fernandes, Jose A.; Schewe, Jacob; Shin, Yunne-jai; Silva, Tiago A. M.; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Stock, Charles A.; Verley, Philippe; Volkholz, Jan; Walker, Nicola D.; Worm, Boris.
While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (+/- 4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (+/- 11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 degrees C of warming. Projected biomass...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Climate change impacts; Marine food webs; Global ecosystem modeling; Model intercomparison; Uncertainty.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00659/77125/78507.pdf
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Identification of the main processes underlying ecosystem functioning in the Eastern English Channel, with a focus on flatfish species, as revealed through the application of the Atlantis end-to-end model ArchiMer
Girardin, Raphael; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Lehuta, Sigrid; Rolland, Marie; Thebaud, Olivier; Travers-trolet, Morgane; Vermard, Youen; Marchal, Paul.
The ecosystem model Atlantis was used to investigate the key dynamics and processes that structure the Eastern English Channel ecosystem, with a particular focus on two commercial flatfish species, sole (Solea solea) and plaice (Pleuronectes platessa). This complex model was parameterized with data collected from diverse sources (a literature review, survey data, as well as landings and stock assessment information) and tuned so both simulated biomass and catch fit 2002–2011 observations. Here, the outputs are mainly presented for the two focus species and for some other vertebrates found to be important in the trophic network. The calibration process revealed the importance of coastal areas in the Eastern English Channel and of nutrient inputs from...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ecosystem modelling; Flatfish fisheries; Trophic relationships; Calibration; Atlantis; Eastern English Channel.
Ano: 2018 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00354/46524/46289.pdf
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Individual transferable quota contribution to environmental stewardship: a theory in need of validation ArchiMer
Van Putten, Ingrid; Boschetti, Fabio; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Smith, Anthony D.m.; Thebaud, Olivier.
We explored the extent to which (1) individual transferable quotas (ITQs) may lead to changes in environmental stewardship and (2) environmental stewardship may in turn contribute to explain the success or otherwise of ITQs in meeting sustainability objectives. ITQs are an example of incentive-based fisheries management in which fishing rights can be privately owned and traded. ITQs are aimed at resolving the problems created by open-access fisheries. ITQs were proposed to promote economic efficiency, and there is growing empirical evidence that ITQs meet a number of economic and social fisheries management objectives. Even though improved stock status arises as a consequence of the total allowable catch levels implemented together with ITQs, the effect is...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Comanagement; Environmental ethics; Fisheries management; Fishing rights; Stewardship.
Ano: 2014 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00250/36165/34720.pdf
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Integrated ecological-economic fisheries models-Evaluation, review and challenges for implementation ArchiMer
Nielsen, J. Rasmus; Thunberg, Eric; Holland, Daniel S.; Schmidt, Jorn O.; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Bastardie, Francois; Punt, Andre E.; Allen, Icarus; Bartelings, Heleen; Bertignac, Michel; Bethke, Eckhard; Bossier, Sieme; Buckworth, Rik; Carpenter, Griffin; Christensen, Asbjorn; Christensen, Villy; Da-rocha, Jose M.; Deng, Roy; Dichmont, Catherine; Doering, Ralf; Esteban, Aniol; Fernandes, Jose A.; Frost, Hans; Garcia, Dorleta; Gasche, Loic; Gascuel, Didier; Gourguet, Sophie; Groeneveld, Rolf A.; Guillen, Jordi; Guyader, Olivier; Hamon, Katell; Hoff, Ayoe; Horbowy, Jan; Hutton, Trevor; Lehuta, Sigrid; Little, L. Richard; Lleonart, Jordi; Macher, Claire; Mackinson, Steven; Mahevas, Stephanie; Marchal, Paul; Mato-amboage, Rosa; Mapstone, Bruce; Maynou, Francesc; Merzereaud, Mathieu; Palacz, Artur; Pascoe, Sean; Paulrud, Anton; Plaganyi, Eva; Prellezo, Raul; Van Putten, Elizabeth I.; Quaas, Martin; Ravn-jonsen, Lars; Sanchez, Sonia; Simons, Sarah; Thebaud, Olivier; Tomczak, Maciej T.; Ulrich, Clara; Van Dijk, Diana; Vermard, Youen; Voss, Rudi; Waldo, Staffan.
Marine ecosystems evolve under many interconnected and area-specific pressures. To fulfil society's intensifying and diversifying needs while ensuring ecologically sustainable development, more effective marine spatial planning and broader-scope management of marine resources is necessary. Integrated ecological–economic fisheries models (IEEFMs) of marine systems are needed to evaluate impacts and sustainability of potential management actions and understand, and anticipate ecological, economic and social dynamics at a range of scales from local to national and regional. To make these models most effective, it is important to determine how model characteristics and methods of communicating results influence the model implementation, the nature of the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Bio-economic models; Comparative model evaluation; Fisheries management advice; Integrated ecological-economic fisheries models; Marine spatial planning and cross-sector management; Performance criteria and scales and risks; Use and acceptance and implementation and communication and flexibility and complexity.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00391/50269/50898.pdf
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Making ecological indicators management ready: Assessing the specificity, sensitivity, and threshold response of ecological indicators ArchiMer
Fu, Caihong; Xu, Yi; Bundy, Alida; Grüss, Arnaud; Coll, Marta; Heymans, Johanna J.; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Shannon, Lynne; Halouani, Ghassen; Velez, Laure; Akoğlu, Ekin; Lynam, Christopher P.; Shin, Yunne-jai.
Moving toward ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) necessitates a suite of ecological indicators that are responsive to fishing pressure, capable of tracking changes in the state of marine ecosystems, and related to management objectives. In this study, we employed the gradient forest method to assess the performance of 14 key ecological indicators in terms of specificity, sensitivity and the detection of thresholds for EBFM across ten marine ecosystems using four modelling frameworks (Ecopath with Ecosim, OSMOSE, Atlantis, and a multi-species size-spectrum model). Across seven of the ten ecosystems, high specificity to fishing pressure was found for most of the 14 indicators. The indicators biomass to fisheries catch ratio (B/C), mean lifespan and...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ecological modelling; Fishing pressure; Gradient forest method; Indictor performance; Marine ecosystem; Primary productivity.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00500/61148/64576.pdf
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Modelling ecological change over half a century in a subtropical estuary: impacts of climate change, land-use, urbanization and freshwater extraction ArchiMer
Condie, Scott A.; Hayes, Donna; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Savina, Marie.
The Clarence River Estuary is the largest estuary in southeast Australia, with an extensive floodplain encompassing multiple river channels and a large coastal lagoon. It is the focus of major commercial and recreational fisheries and there is pressure to divert its freshwater inputs for agricultural and domestic uses. We used a spatial biogeochemical model to simulate the variability and evolution of this system on timescales from days to decades over the past half century. Like most tropical and subtropical estuaries, the Clarence River Estuary is strongly influenced by river discharge, sediment and nutrient loads. Given the high nutrient loads arriving from the upper catchment, plankton biomasses in the model were typically limited by flushing through...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Coastal lagoon; Flushing; Land-use; Climate impacts; Nutrients; Phytoplankton; Zooplankton.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00175/28673/27113.pdf
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Ocean Futures Under Ocean Acidification, Marine Protection, and Changing Fishing Pressures Explored Using a Worldwide Suite of Ecosystem Models ArchiMer
Olsen, Erik; Kaplan, Isaac C.; Ainsworth, Cameron; Fay, Gavin; Gaichas, Sarah; Gamble, Robert; Girardin, Raphael; Eide, Cecilie H.; Ihde, Thomas F.; Morzaria-luna, Hem Nalini; Johnson, Kelli F.; Savina-rolland, Marie; Townsend, Howard; Weijerman, Mariska; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Link, Jason S..
Ecosystem-based management (EBM) of the ocean considers all impacts on and uses of marine and coastal systems. In recent years, there has been a heightened interest in EBM tools that allow testing of alternative management options and help identify tradeoffs among human uses. End-to-end ecosystem modeling frameworks that consider a wide range of management options are a means to provide integrated solutions to the complex ocean management problems encountered in EBM. Here, we leverage the global advances in ecosystem modeling to explore common opportunities and challenges for ecosystem-based management, including changes in ocean acidification, spatial management, and fishing pressure across eight Atlantis (atlantis.cmar.csiro.au) end-to-end ecosystem...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ecosystem-based management; Fisheries management; Ocean acidification; Marine protected areas; Atlantis ecosystem model.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00428/53948/55094.pdf
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Risky business: The combined effects of fishing and changes in primary productivity on fish communities ArchiMer
Fu, Caihong; Travers-trolet, Morgane; Velez, Laure; Gruss, Arnaud; Bundy, Alida; Shannon, Lynne J.; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Akoglu, Ekin; Houle, Jennifer E.; Coll, Marta; Verley, Philippe; Heymans, Johanna J.; John, Emma; Shin, Yunne-jai.
There is an increasing need to understand community-level or whole-ecosystem responses to multiple stressors since the impacts of multiple stressors on marine systems depend not only on species- level responses, but also on species interactions and ecosystem structure. In this study, we used a multi-model ecosystem simulation approach to explore the combined effects of fishing and primary productivity on different components of the food-web across a suite of ecosystems and a range of model types. Simulations were carried out under different levels of primary productivity and various fishing scenarios (targeting different trophic levels). Previous work exploring the effects of multiple stressors often assumed that the combined effects of stressors are...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Marine ecosystem; Fishing; Combined effect; Meta-analysis; Synergism; Multiple drivers.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00414/52542/53368.pdf
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Strong fisheries management and governance positively impact ecosystem status ArchiMer
Bundy, Alida; Chuenpagdee, Ratana; Boldt, Jennifer L.; Borges, Maria De Fatima; Camara, Mohamed Lamine; Coll, Marta; Diallo, Ibrahima; Fox, Clive; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Gazihan, Ayse; Jarre, Astrid; Jouffre, Didier; Kleisner, Kristin M.; Knight, Ben; Link, Jason; Matiku, Patroba P.; Masski, Hicham; Moutopoulos, Dimitrios K.; Piroddi, Chiara; Raid, Tut; Sobrino, Ignacio; Tam, Jorge; Thiao, Djiga; Angeles Torres, Maria; Tsagarakis, Konstantinos; Van Der Meeren, Gro I.; Shin, Yunne-jai.
Fisheries have had major negative impacts on marine ecosystems, and effective fisheries management and governance are needed to achieve sustainable fisheries, biodiversity conservation goals and thus good ecosystem status. To date, the IndiSeas programme (Indicators for the Seas) has focussed on assessing the ecological impacts of fishing at the ecosystem scale using ecological indicators. Here, we explore fisheries Management Effectiveness' and Governance Quality' and relate this to ecosystem health and status. We developed a dedicated expert survey, focused at the ecosystem level, with a series of questions addressing aspects of management and governance, from an ecosystem-based perspective, using objective and evidence-based criteria. The survey was...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ecological indicator; Ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM); Expert evaluation; Fisheries governance quality; Fisheries management effectiveness; Socioeconomic indicators.
Ano: 2017 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00611/72310/71209.pdf
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The Ocean Decade: A True Ecosystem Modeling Challenge ArchiMer
Heymans, Johanna J.; Bundy, Alida; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; De Mutsert, Kim; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Piroddi, Chiara; Shin, Yunne-jai; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Travers-trolet, Morgane.
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ocean Decade; Ecosystem modeling; Climate change; Ecosystem based management (EBM); Sustainable development goals (SDG).
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00652/76379/77386.pdf
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The Role of Pre-Existing Disturbances in the Effect of Marine Reserves on Coastal Ecosystems: A Modelling Approach ArchiMer
Savina, Marie; Condie, Scott A.; Fulton, Elizabeth A..
We have used an end-to-end ecosystem model to explore responses over 30 years to coastal no-take reserves covering up to 6% of the fifty thousand square kilometres of continental shelf and slope off the coast of New South Wales (Australia). The model is based on the Atlantis framework, which includes a deterministic, spatially resolved three-dimensional biophysical model that tracks nutrient flows through key biological groups, as well as extraction by a range of fisheries. The model results support previous empirical studies in finding clear benefits of reserves to top predators such as sharks and rays throughout the region, while also showing how many of their major prey groups (including commercial species) experienced significant declines. It was found...
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Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00175/28671/27115.pdf
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